《自然-通讯》发表的一项研究Contemporary climatic analogs for 540 North American urban areas in the late 21st century为540个北美城市2080年的预测气候找到了最为相似的当前区域气候。例如，如果排放在2040年前后达到峰值，那么2080年的华盛顿气候与目前美国阿肯色州帕拉戈尔德的气候最为相似。研究团队还开发了一款网络应用，能让用户搜索到每个地区的详细结果。
摘要：A major challenge in articulating human dimensions of climate change lies in translating global climate forecasts into impact assessments that are intuitive to the public. Climate-analog mapping involves matching the expected future climate at a location (e.g., a person’s city of residence) with current climate of another, potentially familiar, location - thereby providing a more relatable, place-based assessment of climate change. For 540 North American urban areas, we used climate-analog mapping to identify the location that has a contemporary climate most similar to each urban area’s expected 2080’s climate. We show that climate of most urban areas will shift considerably and become either more akin to contemporary climates hundreds of kilometers away and mainly to the south or will have no modern equivalent. Combined with an interactive web application, we provide an intuitive means of raising public awareness of the implications of climate change for 250 million urban residents.
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